{"ok": true, "symbol": "sz.300750", "stock_name": "宁德时代", "industry": "C38电气机械和器材制造业", "horizons": [["t1", "V3_T1_C1", 0.599794, 0.599794, 1.0, 0.487036, "2026-10-28", 1, "verified_above_baseline", 0, "ok", "2026-10-28 19:22", "2026-10-28", 1, -0.016567, 0, 0.359753, 0.237204], ["t2", "V3_T2_C1", 0.498339, 0.498339, 1.0, 0.487278, "2026-10-29", 0, "weak_above_baseline", 0, "ok", "2026-10-28 19:22", null, null, null, null, null, null], ["t3", "V3_T3_C1", 0.512959, 0.512959, 1.0, 0.487293, "2026-10-30", 0, "parity_baseline", 0, "ok", "2026-10-28 19:22", null, null, null, null, null, null], ["cum", "V3_CUM_C1", 0.608513, 0.608513, 1.0, 0.485893, "2026-11-02", 1, "point_estimate_pending", 0, "ok", "2026-10-28 19:22", null, null, null, null, null, null]], "horizon_day": [["cum", 1412, 1153, 0.03223, 0.5911], ["t1", 1412, 1112, 0.02858, 0.5911], ["t2", 1412, 4, 0.00521, 0.4998], ["t3", 1412, 110, 0.00671, 0.5164]], "horizon_hist": [["2026-10-27", "t1", 0.599794, "2026-10-28", -0.016567, 0, 0.359753, 0.237204, 1], ["2026-10-26", "t1", 0.517268, "2026-10-27", -0.021008, 0, 0.267566, 0.237204, 1], ["2026-10-26", "t2", 0.493497, "2026-10-28", -0.016567, 0, 0.243539, 0.23744, 1], ["2026-10-20", "cum", 0.403111, "2026-10-23", -0.082909, 0, 0.162498, 0.236092, 1], ["2026-10-20", "t1", 0.452494, "2026-10-21", -0.120349, 0, 0.204751, 0.237204, 1], ["2026-10-20", "t2", 0.48798, "2026-10-22", -0.032865, 0, 0.238124, 0.23744, 1], ["2026-10-20", "t3", 0.49626, "2026-10-23", 0.077991, 1, 0.253754, 0.262868, 1]], "ipo_date": "2018-06-11", "out_date": null, "listing_status": "listed", "as_of_date": "2026-10-27", "date_defaulted": true, "generated_at": "2026-10-27 20:53:51", "is_latest_prediction_date": true, "calendar": [{"date": "2026-10-28", "weekday": "星期三", "estimated": false}, {"date": "2026-10-29", "weekday": "星期四", "estimated": true}, {"date": "2026-10-30", "weekday": "星期五", "estimated": true}], "model_health": {"v20261026-1415-M1": {"status": "current", "ok": 1386, "d_raw": 1, "sd": 0.0, "degen": true}, "v20261026-1455-M1FIX": {"status": "shadow", "ok": 1386, "d_raw": 1299, "sd": 0.04482435419464695, "degen": false}}, "units": {"market_bar.pct_change": "percent_point（BaoStock pctChg 口径，-5.9913 = -5.9913%）", "market_bar.turnover": "percent_point", "binary.p_up/p_not_up": "probability 0..1", "binary.raw_score": "uncalibrated probability 0..1", "behavior.evidence.ret_1d/industry_ret_gap_1d/dist_*": "decimal_return", "behavior.evidence.turnover_rate": "percent_point", "settlement.actual_ret": "decimal_return（0.0182 = +1.82%）"}, "t1_date": "2026-10-28", "t2_date": "2026-10-29", "t3_date": "2026-10-30", "t1_weekday": "星期三", "t2_weekday": "星期四", "t3_weekday": "星期五", "calendar_estimated": true, "calendar_note": "部分未来日期尚未有指数 bar，按「工作日 − 已推导休市日」估计（标 *估计）；当晚 bar 入库后自动改用实际日期。", "market_data_date": "2026-10-27", "market_data_status": "基准日 bar 完整入库", "market_data_fetched_at": "2026-10-27 18:49", "market_data_source": "baostock:query_history_k_data_plus", "market_bar": {"trade_date": "2026-10-27", "open": 238.8, "high": 238.8, "low": 232.67, "close": 233.0, "pct_change": -2.1008, "amount": 8814345788.37, "turnover": 0.8803, "trading_status": 1, "is_st": 0}, "binary_predictions": [{"model_version": "v20261026-1415-M1", "model_status": "current", "feature_version": "feat_v1", "horizon": 3, "raw_score": 0.49226138, "p_up": 0.47235, "p_not_up": 0.52765, "expected_ret": null, "decision": "no_action", "made_at": "2026-10-27 20:53:51", "quality_flag": "ok", "cross_section_rows": 1386, "features_hash": "7a7e157aca5a8c661c2c57b1f2eb3fec", "computed_side": "linux", "calibration_cohort": "M1_oof80pt", "direction_signal": "暂无可靠判断（模型当日无区分能力）", "direction_cls": "sig-na", "signal_validity": "当日 distinct(raw_score)=1：同日个股概率几乎相同（M1 1 棵树容量缺陷，D22），不得生成上涨/下跌结论", "publishable": false, "settled": null}, {"model_version": "v20261026-1455-M1FIX", "model_status": "shadow", "feature_version": "feat_v1", "horizon": 3, "raw_score": 0.60404701, "p_up": 0.56482, "p_not_up": 0.43518, "expected_ret": null, "decision": "candidate_buy", "made_at": "2026-10-27 21:23:12", "quality_flag": "ok", "cross_section_rows": 1386, "features_hash": "7a7e157aca5a8c661c2c57b1f2eb3fec", "computed_side": "linux", "calibration_cohort": "M1FIX_copied_from_M1_80pt", "direction_signal": "倾向上涨", "direction_cls": "sig-up", "signal_validity": "实验预测，尚未通过前瞻验证（shadow 校准 2026-10-28 起生效，D41；预登记观察 60–120 交易日）", "publishable": true, "settled": null}], "binary_model_version": "v20261026-1415-M1", "binary_model_status": "current", "p_up": 0.47235, "p_not_up": 0.52765, "direction_signal": "暂无可靠判断（模型当日无区分能力）", "signal_validity": "当日 distinct(raw_score)=1：同日个股概率几乎相同（M1 1 棵树容量缺陷，D22），不得生成上涨/下跌结论", "calibration_cohort": "M1_oof80pt", "ranker": [{"model_version": "R1", "rank_score": -0.24941638, "rank": 1035, "rank_total": 1412, "entry_unbuyable": 0, "quality_flag": "ok", "cross_section_rows": 1412, "made_at": "2026-10-28 02:55:22", "rank_valid": true}], "rank_note": "rank_score 是截面相对排名分数：不是概率、无校准、不代表一定赚钱；R1 为试验影子（D43），全截面 Rank IC 略负、只有头部排序语义。", "rank_settlement_day": [], "behavior": {"state": "neutral", "state_cn": "证据不足", "stage": "mid", "stage_cn": "中段", "state_score": 0.0, "behavior_date": "2026-10-27", "evidence": {"vol_burst_20": 0.7475324, "vol_vs_60": 1.3733249, "turn_accel_5_20": 1.7586915, "turnover_pctl_120": 0.6333333, "vol_pctl_120": 0.6333333, "ret_pctl_120": 0.225, "upper_wick_ratio": 0.0, "close_pos_in_range": 0.053833604, "dist_high_252": -0.49164224, "dist_low_252": 0.057121765, "industry_ret_gap_1d": 0.013927499, "breadth_ret_gap_1d": 0.017678998, "consec_limit_up": 0, "is_limit_up": 0, "is_st": 0, "ret_1d": -0.021008, "turnover_rate": 0.8803, "adj_close": null, "industry_csrc": "C38电气机械和器材制造业"}, "note": "behavior_v1 只用日频量价代理指标：「疑似吸筹/出货」是统计代理，不代表已识别真实主力账户的买卖；分钟/资金流数据未接入，不做相关编造。"}, "exit_bar": {"future_bars": [{"date": "2026-10-28", "trading_status": 1}], "complete": false, "exit_date": null, "exit_tradable": null}, "settlement_status": "预测尚未到期，等待完整行情结算（日历预计到期 2026-10-30*估计；全市场最新 bar 2026-10-28，该股 bar 与市场同步——T+n bar 入库当晚自动结算）", "data_quality": {"as_of_date": "2026-10-27", "prediction_rows": 2, "quality_flags": ["ok"], "cross_section_rows": {"v20261026-1415-M1": 1386, "v20261026-1455-M1FIX": 1386}, "rank_day_distinct": 907, "rank_day_rows": 1412, "behavior_latest_for_stock": "2026-10-27", "stock_last_bar": "2026-10-28", "market_last_bar": "2026-10-28", "system_latest_prediction_date": "2026-10-27"}, "snapshots": [], "reports": [], "fallback_report": null, "history_dates": ["2026-10-27", "2026-10-26", "2026-10-23"], "history": [["2026-10-27", "v20261026-1415-M1", "current", 0.47235, "ok", null, null, "M1_oof80pt"], ["2026-10-27", "v20261026-1455-M1FIX", "shadow", 0.56482, "ok", null, null, "M1FIX_copied_from_M1_80pt"], ["2026-10-26", "v20261026-1415-M1", "current", 0.47235, "ok", null, null, "M1_oof80pt"], ["2026-10-26", "v20261026-1455-M1FIX", "shadow", 0.56194, "ok", null, null, "M1FIX_copied_from_M1_80pt"], ["2026-10-23", "v20261026-1415-M1", "current", 0.47235, "ok", -0.035606, true, "M1_oof80pt"], ["2026-10-23", "v20261026-1455-M1FIX", "shadow", 0.56194, "ok", -0.035606, false, "M1FIX_copied_from_M1_80pt"]], "notice": "本查询只读数据库不可变记录（不打分、不重训、不用今日模型重算历史预测）。p_up 是「基准日收盘 → 第 3 根未来 bar 收盘」累计方向的校准概率，不是单日概率；所有内容不构成投资建议。"}